Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.827949 0.968670 1.125888 1.314559 1.534871 1.784068 2.087459
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.637931 0.834611 1.079739 1.407756 1.835506 2.374919 3.107854
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.520304 0.737243 1.029554 1.452346 2.048919 2.861942 4.056812
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.432447 0.653737 0.971387 1.460782 2.196980 3.265522 4.939266
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.363834 0.581578 0.911649 1.448646 2.302280 3.610400 5.775219
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.312552 0.525128 0.863433 1.441261 2.406198 3.958330 6.656289
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.276013 0.485293 0.833463 1.455121 2.540977 4.366559 7.685309
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.235331 0.431520 0.771574 1.404183 2.556067 4.573467 8.396217
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.223973 0.427164 0.793131 1.500613 2.839937 5.277093 10.078089
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.194988 0.385905 0.742412 1.456997 2.860242 5.507352 10.916179
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.169618 0.347687 0.691782 1.405565 2.856779 5.689483 11.681863
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.148974 0.315759 0.648736 1.362428 2.862310 5.886873 12.500327
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.137038 0.300458 0.637665 1.384749 3.008303 6.391865 14.042222
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.132965 0.301357 0.660236 1.481549 3.325979 7.295881 16.571422
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.124864 0.292164 0.659971 1.528389 3.541160 8.009895 18.785821
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.114726 0.276807 0.643959 1.537262 3.671594 8.553843 20.690284
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.104283 0.259155 0.620220 1.524490 3.749169 8.986486 22.392306
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.095359 0.243855 0.599841 1.516718 3.837248 9.454431 24.246187
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.088708 0.233234 0.589201 1.531304 3.982179 10.077362 26.575954
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.079061 0.213551 0.553611 1.477697 3.946778 10.250458 27.775901
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.078184 0.216811 0.576429 1.579179 4.329206 11.532221 32.087716
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.070395 0.200271 0.545685 1.533279 4.311278 11.770976 33.606517
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.063091 0.184027 0.513578 1.479152 4.263238 11.923110 34.907294